LiveAnalytics & Research

Octagon

Compare model probabilities with live prediction-market prices.

01 · Overview

What is Octagon?

Octagon publishes cited AI research reports, model-versus-market edge estimates, news signals, APIs, MCP integrations, and a Kalshi trading CLI. Best for: Analysts and developers who want cited research and programmatic edge screening. Less suitable for: Users who treat model edge as guaranteed profit or want a fully hands-off black box. Key limitations: Model probabilities remain estimates, coverage varies by venue, and cited reports can lag breaking events. Trading CLI users must independently control credentials and sizing.

AI ResearchAPIMCPMarket Analytics

02 · Best for

Who is Octagon best for?

Best for

Analysts and developers who want cited research and programmatic edge screening.

Not ideal for

Users who treat model edge as guaranteed profit or want a fully hands-off black box.

Limitations

Model probabilities remain estimates, coverage varies by venue, and cited reports can lag breaking events. Trading CLI users must independently control credentials and sizing.

03 · Access & execution

How do access and execution work?

Pricing modelPaid
Free planUnknown
Wallet requiredNo
Trade executionAssisted
AccessLevel 3
Product statusLive
KalshiPolymarket

04 · Sources & verification

How was Octagon verified?

Verified · Aug 24, 2026

Detailed catalog review passed on 2026-08-25. Current availability, scope, official-source coverage, taxonomy, bilingual copy, commercial facts, permissions, execution behavior, and risk framing were checked. Any unconfirmed facts are recorded separately as editorial uncertainty.